Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. This paper compares the forecasts presented in two recent publications, global trends 2030 and 2052 a global forecast for the next forty years. Whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. In december, the united states national intelligence council nic published its guess. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001. Whether the data is collected from the global skies or on foreign ground, the ic brings it all together to report current world events and. Dec 07, 2014 this report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. The two differ because randers believes in slower population and economic growth over the next several decades, significant disruption from increasing climate change, and an end to us supremacy. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Dec, 2012 of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
The analytic arm of the office of the director of national. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. In all four of the alternative visions of the future, u. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm view important in making portfolio allocation decisions. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Alternative worlds, stated, the keystone of national power remains us economic strength and innovation.
Dec 01, 2012 global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global forecast. Global trends and challenges, term paper get sample. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. The office of the director of national intelligence will host a press briefing to discuss the release of global trends 2030. The nic foresees a transformed world, in which no country whether the us, china, or any other large country will be a hegemonic power. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001 defensio fidei nic n download defensio fidei nic n pdf ebook defensio fidei nic n defensio fidei nic n ebook author by george bull defensio.
Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Gov t report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to impact nations. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030.
Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Get your kindle here, or download a free kindle reading app. In the next 1520 years, the middle class will be the most important economic and social sector in many countries around the world global trends 2030 alternative worlds, 2012. This report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030.
Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for u. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Oct 30, 2019 the atlantic councils 2012 report envisioning 2030. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to. After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds gt2030 blog posts.
Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Jan 09, 20 obviously, nobody knows, but some things are more likely than others. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Given the rapid pace of change as we enter a new decade, mintels 2030 global food and drink trends carefully consider the likely shifts in consumer needs, product innovation, corporate actions, and society over the next 10 years, offering optimistic, yet pragmatic actions intended to help businesses adapt to the transformations ahead. Whether the data is collected from the global skies or on foreign ground, the ic brings it all together to report current world events and predict future adversary action. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligencecouncils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today.
Alternative worlds a free report from the national intelligence council by karen newcombe there are many organizations out there producing great reports that are invaluable for those preparing to engage in a strategic planning or. Of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader. Download defensio fidei nic n pdf ebook defensio fidei nic n defensio fidei nic n ebook author by george bull defensio. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Global trends 2030 with america at the center forbes.
Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030.
The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think the. Daily collaboration among the 17 agencies in the ic gives u. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class. Us strategy in a postwestern world, written as a companion piece with the us national intelligence councils global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Jan 07, 20 without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. Companies and governments have to make informed guesses, because some of their investments today will last longer than 20 years.